Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.027554 0.029691 0.031836 0.034148 0.036565 0.039015 0.041683
2025-11-16 0.023435 0.026763 0.030225 0.034079 0.038237 0.042575 0.047429
2025-11-23 0.020812 0.024787 0.029026 0.033854 0.039173 0.044826 0.051262
2025-11-30 0.018861 0.023303 0.028144 0.033764 0.040063 0.046859 0.054704
2025-12-07 0.016957 0.021699 0.026975 0.033208 0.040304 0.048064 0.057131
2025-12-14 0.015251 0.020194 0.025802 0.032539 0.040318 0.048933 0.059106
2025-12-21 0.013735 0.018808 0.024674 0.031835 0.040216 0.049602 0.060797
2025-12-28 0.013170 0.018516 0.024792 0.032544 0.041711 0.052065 0.064504
2026-01-04 0.012342 0.017848 0.024416 0.032631 0.042448 0.053633 0.067170
2026-01-11 0.011503 0.017119 0.023922 0.032540 0.042945 0.054898 0.069468
2026-01-18 0.011122 0.016944 0.024088 0.033228 0.044352 0.057216 0.072983
2026-01-25 0.010464 0.016374 0.023734 0.033256 0.044949 0.058569 0.075363
2026-02-01 0.009718 0.015695 0.023266 0.033187 0.045496 0.059949 0.077892
2026-02-08 0.008992 0.015015 0.022780 0.033092 0.046018 0.061320 0.080444
2026-02-15 0.008282 0.014311 0.022225 0.032874 0.046360 0.062451 0.082692
2026-02-22 0.007682 0.013723 0.021793 0.032786 0.046841 0.063736 0.085114
2026-03-01 0.006959 0.012916 0.021031 0.032240 0.046723 0.064271 0.086618
2026-03-08 0.006256 0.012093 0.020210 0.031584 0.046435 0.064576 0.087827
2026-03-15 0.005600 0.011297 0.019389 0.030893 0.046076 0.064770 0.088882
2026-03-22 0.005438 0.011249 0.019607 0.031589 0.047499 0.067175 0.092643
2026-03-29 0.005098 0.010901 0.019383 0.031674 0.048121 0.068579 0.095176
2026-04-05 0.004730 0.010484 0.019043 0.031585 0.048506 0.069676 0.097327
2026-04-12 0.004602 0.010454 0.019259 0.032260 0.049891 0.072037 0.101049